prepush: fix bug in warning message selection
In certain situations you would be told "you should pull and merge" even when
there is nothing to pull.
#!/bin/sh
hg init test
cd test
echo foo > a
hg ci -Ama
hg up -r0000
echo bar > a
echo % should issue warning
hg ci -Amb
hg up -r0000
echo stuffy > a
echo % should not issue warning
hg ci -q -Amc
hg up -r0000
echo crap > a
hg branch testing
echo % should not issue warning
hg ci -q -Amd